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player projections, which isn't nothing but also isn't everything.
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SUNRISE, Fla -- Tampa Bay Lightning Authentic #81 Gerald Everett Womens Jersey forward J.T. Brown raised his right fist during the playing of the national anthem before the team's first road game of the season. It is the first known demonstration of any kind during the anthem in an NHL regular-season game. The NHL has no rules governing what players must do during the national anthem. Brown, who was scratched for Tampa Bay's season-opening win against Florida, remained standing throughout the anthem Saturday night. Brown, one of approximately 30 black players in the NHL, used the same protest before a preseason game against the Panthers last month. "I wanted to do something to show my support," Brown told the Tampa Bay Times after the Lightning's 5-4 loss to the Florida Panthers on Saturday. "There are some issues that we have to talk about. So, in my mind, just trying to bring a little more awareness, and any type of conversation that we can get started would be great. I know there's going to be negative backlash. But, in my heart, I know I did what was right." The Lightning issued a statement later Saturday, saying, "The Tampa Bay Lightning celebrate the moment before every game when we can unite as a community, paying homage to a flag that is representative of our nation and those who have sacrificed. At the same http://www.authenticramsofficialshop.com/Nike-Gerald-Everett-Jersey.html time, we respect our players and individual choices they may make on social and political issues." Brown said his teammates supported his decision. Former San Francisco 49ers quarterback Colin Kaepernick began kneeling during the anthem in the preseason a year ago to make a statement about social inequality and police treatment of blacks in the United States. Since then, the protest has spread to other sports. Brown, 27, is the son of former NFL running back Ted Brown, who played eight seasons for the Minnesota Vikings. The Associated Press contributed to this report. In three years at the University of Utah, Los Angeles Lakers rookie Kyle Kuzma shot 32.1 percent from the college 3-point line. For whatever reason -- he has attributed it to greater focus because he knows he has to jump to shoot -- the longer NBA 3 has agreed with Kuzma. He shot 4-of-5 on 3s in the one scrimmage he played at the NBA draft combine, 24-of-50 Authentic Lawrence Taylor Youth Jersey (48 percent) at the NBA summer league in Las Vegas and now 8-of-17 (47.1 percent) during his first three preseason games. My hot take is Kuzma likely won't surpass Steve Kerr as the most accurate 3-point shooter in NBA history, which I'm pretty sure is not what you mean by take it seriously. The question is probably more like, at what point can we expect Kuzma to be an above-average 3-point shooter? From a Bayesian perspective, that's a product of two things: How many NBA attempts Kuzma has and how well he has shot on them. There's one key underlying question here: Does each individual NBA 3-point attempt tell us more about a player's NBA 3-point shooting than an NCAA 3-point attempt? And the answer here seems to be yes. Using summer league stats for rookies who attempted at least 20 3s in the summer and 50 the following NBA season, I found the best prediction of their rookie 3-point percentage weighted summer league attempts 70 percent more than college attempts (using their projected NBA 3-point percentage, not their actual college percentage). So, taking preseason 3-point attempts as equally predictive as summer league ones, Kuzma's projection would now be weighted by 169 college attempts to the 29.2 percent he was projected to shoot based on his NCAA accuracy and 117 NBA attempts to the 47.8 percent he has shot in the NBA. That yields a projection of 36.7 percent, a little better than last year's league average of 35.8 percent. I'm fascinated to see how Kuzma continues to develop as a shooter. I can't recall http://www.nygiantsofficialstore.com/lawrence-taylor-jersey-for-sale-c-4.html a case of a player showing this kind of improvement from the NBA 3-point line so early. The change to his projection incorporating summer league stats dwarfs the next-highest improvement, for Anthony Morrow when he went 11-of-20 from 3 in summer league play in 2008. (Morrow went on to exceed even his revised projection by shooting 46.7 percent on 3s as a rookie.) Absolutely. As with the previous example of 3-point percentage, the key question to ask here is how different is a team's performance during preseason from what we previously expected from them. I've found some predictive value to exceeding or underperforming preseason over/under lines, on the order of about three wins per season above or below those lines at the extremes. The exception to that is for teams with an over/under line of more than 50 wins, so the Cleveland Cavaliers, Golden State Warriors and San Antonio Spurs all starting 0-2 shouldn't be reason for concern. For individuals, the story is similar. The most recent time I studied the issue, I found preseason performance had about a fourth the predictive power of my SCHOENE
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